Al Masry 2-3 Sakandary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 36% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakandary EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.05/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.14
-29% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.8 Crosses 19.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sakandary
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
278 Passes 250
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
07.01.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 2-1 HT 1-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
18.07.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
24.12.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
20.05.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
07.01.2021 Sakandary Sakandary 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
2-3
AWAY Sakandary
2.22 xG 1.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
394 Passes 157
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Sakandary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakandary squeezed past Al Masry 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Masry at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Masry had 66% of the ball to Sakandary's 34%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.22 to 1.33 — on chances, Al Masry could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Masry had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Masry and 0.67 for Sakandary.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Sakandary?

Al Masry 2-3 Sakandary in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Sakandary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 46%, draw 30%, Sakandary 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Masry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
4 Apr 2024
23:00 ENPPI vs Pharco Analysis →
23:00 National Bank of Egypt vs El Daklyeh Analysis →