ENPPI 1-1 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 Apr 2024

ENPPI
1-1 HT 0-0
Pharco
📅04/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.03
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.41
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ENPPI EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -12%
1.06/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.83
-20% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.0 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ENPPI
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Pharco
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.83 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
219 Passes 276
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.06.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 2-1 HT 1-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
23.01.2023 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
22.07.2022 ENPPI ENPPI 0-1 HT 0-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
16.02.2022 Pharco Pharco 1-0 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ENPPI
1-1
AWAY Pharco
2.01 xG 1.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
197 Passes 269
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ENPPI vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ENPPI and Pharco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was ENPPI at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, ENPPI had 45% of the ball to Pharco's 55%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.01 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ENPPI and 0.75 for Pharco.

What was the final score of ENPPI vs Pharco?

ENPPI 1-1 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ENPPI vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a ENPPI win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ENPPI 41%, draw 32%, Pharco 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ENPPI), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ENPPI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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