National Bank of Egypt 1-0 El Daklyeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.67
Over 2.5
31%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.09
No
69%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
47%
2.68
2-3 Goals
33%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
4.36
6+ Goals
6%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 47% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
56%
+12.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
44%
-12.9pp
31%
BTTS Yes
44%
-12.3pp
69%
BTTS No
56%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY El Daklyeh EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.12/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.50
-5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
427 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
26.2 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME National Bank of Egypt
1W-1D-0L
AWAY El Daklyeh
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.88 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 3-1 HT 2-0 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh MSR
11.01.2023 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh 3-3 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME National Bank of Egypt
1-0
AWAY El Daklyeh
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH National Bank of Egypt vs El Daklyeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt nicked a narrow win over El Daklyeh 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had National Bank of Egypt as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 51% of the ball to El Daklyeh's 49%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, National Bank of Egypt had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 2.00 for El Daklyeh.

What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs El Daklyeh?

National Bank of Egypt 1-0 El Daklyeh in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs El Daklyeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 53%, draw 26%, El Daklyeh 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (National Bank of Egypt), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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