Genoa vs Udinese Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Udinese — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Udinese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Genoa
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Udinese
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Udinese
İTA
Genoa 1-0 Udinese — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa edged past Udinese 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genoa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Genoa had 53% of the ball to Udinese's 47%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.32 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Genoa and 0.50 for Udinese.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Udinese?
Genoa 1-0 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Udinese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Genoa 44%, draw 28%, Udinese 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.