Genoa 2-0 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 24 Feb 2024

Genoa
2-0 HT 2-0
Udinese
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Genoa vs Udinese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.52
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
3.49
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.74
X/2
12%
6.08
X/X
20%
3.52
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.96
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genoa v Udinese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.47/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.23
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.3 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Genoa vs Udinese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Udinese
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 1-2 Genoa Genoa İTA
22.01.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
28.11.2021 Udinese Udinese 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
13.03.2021 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
22.11.2020 Udinese Udinese 1-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
05.07.2020 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA

Genoa 2-0 Udinese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
2-0
AWAY Udinese
1.36 xG 0.30
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
535 Passes 244
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Genoa vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa beat Udinese 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Genoa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Genoa had 65% of the ball to Udinese's 35%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.36 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Genoa and 1.00 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Genoa vs Udinese?

Genoa 2-0 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Genoa 35%, draw 34%, Udinese 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genoa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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