Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
11%
4.85
X/2
12%
6.63
X/X
16%
4.43
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
12%
4.75
2/X
11%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.3pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.55/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.09
+14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.7 Crosses 21.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Empoli
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.05 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
404 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Empoli Empoli 3-4 HT 2-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
30.04.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
23.12.2022 Empoli Empoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo HAZ
05.11.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
09.01.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-5 HT 1-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
31.10.2021 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
2-3
AWAY Empoli
1.70 xG 2.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
322 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli nicked a narrow win over Sassuolo 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Empoli made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo had 54% of the ball to Empoli's 46%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.70 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sassuolo and 1.67 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Empoli?

Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 37%, draw 33%, Empoli 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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