Salernitana 0-2 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 24 Feb 2024

Salernitana
0-2 HT 0-0
Monza
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Salernitana vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
11%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.7
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
16%
6.29
X/2
16%
4.84
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.24
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salernitana v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.01/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.50
+25% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
23.1 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Salernitana vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Monza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 2.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
269 Passes 489
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Monza Monza 3-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
26.02.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 3-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
13.11.2022 Monza Monza 3-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
01.05.2021 Salernitana Salernitana 1-3 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB
30.12.2020 Monza Monza 3-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
11.02.2001 Salernitana Salernitana 2-0 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTB

Salernitana 0-2 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
0-2
AWAY Monza
0.94 xG 2.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 11
314 Passes 472
87% Pass Accuracy 92%
21 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza got the better of Salernitana 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Monza found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salernitana had 41% of the ball to Monza's 59%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.94 to 2.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monza led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salernitana and 2.00 for Monza.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Monza?

Salernitana 0-2 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 35%, draw 25%, Monza 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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