Udinese 0-2 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.9
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
13%
8.68
X/X
10%
4.79
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
8%
6.91
2/X
8%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.69/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.16
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.1 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Genoa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 371
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Genoa Genoa 2-0 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
01.10.2023 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 1-2 Genoa Genoa İTA
22.01.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
28.11.2021 Udinese Udinese 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
13.03.2021 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
22.11.2020 Udinese Udinese 1-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
0-2
AWAY Genoa
0.17 xG 1.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 414
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Genoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa saw off Udinese 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Udinese at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Udinese had 46% of the ball to Genoa's 54%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.17 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Udinese and 0.83 for Genoa.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Genoa?

Udinese 0-2 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Genoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Udinese 45%, draw 28%, Genoa 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Udinese), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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