Torino 0-1 Napoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
4.97
6+ Goals
6%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.1
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
4%
20.25
X/1
6%
11.25
X/2
19%
4.07
X/X
16%
4.66
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.46
2/X
6%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli EU Bookmakers 59%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
0.90/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.99
-44% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
17.1 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Napoli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
310 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
07.01.2024 Torino Torino 3-0 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
19.03.2023 Torino Torino 0-4 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
01.10.2022 Napoli Napoli 3-1 HT 3-1 Torino Torino İTA
07.05.2022 Torino Torino 0-1 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
17.10.2021 Napoli Napoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
0-1
AWAY Napoli
0.26 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
372 Passes 423
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torino vs Napoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli edged past Torino 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torino had 48% of the ball to Napoli's 52%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.26 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Torino and 1.67 for Napoli.

What was the final score of Torino vs Napoli?

Torino 0-1 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Napoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Torino 23%, draw 26%, Napoli 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
1 Dec 2024
14:30 Udinese vs Genoa Analysis →
17:00 Parma vs Lazio Analysis →
22:45 Lecce vs Juventus Analysis →