Lecce 1-1 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Dec 2024

Lecce
1-1 HT 0-0
Juventus
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Lecce vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
5.66
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
11.6
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
22.1
X/1
7%
12.2
X/2
18%
3.91
X/X
12%
4.42
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.4
2/X
8%
20.45
Value flag · 1/X at 22.1 — our 12% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+5.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+14.0pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecce v Juventus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 60%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.12/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.10
-14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
17.0 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Lecce vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Juventus
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 2.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
287 Passes 451
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Lecce Lecce 0-3 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.09.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
03.05.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 2-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
29.10.2022 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.06.2020 Juventus Juventus 4-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
26.10.2019 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA

Lecce 1-1 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
1-1
AWAY Juventus
1.51 xG 1.30
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
306 Passes 527
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce and Juventus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lecce had 38% of the ball to Juventus's 62%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.51 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lecce and 2.00 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Juventus?

Lecce 1-1 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lecce 23%, draw 32%, Juventus 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Juventus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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