Lecce 0-3 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
55%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.14
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.88
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
6%
16.85
X/1
5%
8.78
X/2
19%
3.75
X/X
12%
3.91
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
29%
2.41
2/X
6%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.11/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.17
+24% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -14%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.3 Crosses 18.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Juventus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.69 xG 2.28
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
265 Passes 470
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
03.05.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 2-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
29.10.2022 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.06.2020 Juventus Juventus 4-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
26.10.2019 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
02.05.2012 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-3
AWAY Juventus
0.64 xG 2.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
393 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus cruised past Lecce 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecce had 52% of the ball to Juventus's 48%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.64 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lecce and 1.67 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Juventus?

Lecce 0-3 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lecce 21%, draw 24%, Juventus 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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