Salernitana vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salernitana v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Salernitana vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Salernitana
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Salernitana
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Salernitana
İTK
1-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
4-0
HT 2-0
Genoa
İTB
5-0
HT 2-0
Salernitana
İTB
Salernitana 1-2 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa squeezed past Salernitana 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Genoa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Salernitana had 60% of the ball to Genoa's 40%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.76 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salernitana and 1.33 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Salernitana vs Genoa?
Salernitana 1-2 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 32%, draw 30%, Genoa 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.