Empoli 3-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 21 Jan 2024

Empoli
3-0 HT 2-0
Monza
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Empoli vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 33% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.68
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.35
X/2
10%
5.65
X/X
15%
4.11
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.99
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Empoli v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.49/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.10
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.6 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Empoli vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Monza
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
322 Passes 418
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Monza Monza 2-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
04.03.2023 Monza Monza 2-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
15.10.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTA
06.02.2021 Monza Monza 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
03.10.2020 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB
23.12.2000 Empoli Empoli 4-2 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTB

Empoli 3-0 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
3-0
AWAY Monza
1.31 xG 0.82
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
186 Passes 582
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli ran out comfortable winners over Monza 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Empoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Empoli had 28% of the ball to Monza's 72%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.31 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Empoli and 1.17 for Monza.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Monza?

Empoli 3-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Empoli 37%, draw 29%, Monza 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Empoli), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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