Augsburg vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Augsburg v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals
Augsburg vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Augsburg
AL1
5-3
HT 4-1
Augsburg
AL1
2-5
HT 1-1
Bayern Münih
AFK
1-0
HT 0-0
Bayern Münih
AL1
Augsburg 1-3 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics
Bayern Münih saw off Augsburg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Augsburg had 30% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 70%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.39 to 2.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Augsburg and 3.17 for Bayern Münih.
What was the final score of Augsburg vs Bayern Münih?
Augsburg 1-3 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Bayern Münih?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 26%, draw 25%, Bayern Münih 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.