Kapfenberger SV 6-4 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.42
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.8
X/2
12%
8.3
X/X
7%
6.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.05
2/2
8%
5.55
2/X
10%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.92/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.13
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lafnitz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-2 HT 1-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
01.12.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-4 HT 1-2 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
26.09.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AUK
28.07.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
26.05.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-1 HT 2-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
14.08.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-5 HT 0-3 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV saw off Lafnitz 6-4. Half-time: 5-1. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kapfenberger SV as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lafnitz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 2.67 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Lafnitz?

Kapfenberger SV 6-4 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 52%, draw 22%, Lafnitz 26%. The final score 6-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapfenberger SV), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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