Ried 1-1 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

Ried
1-1 HT 1-0
Amstetten
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ried vs Amstetten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 23% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.64
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
18.6
X/1
24%
3.91
X/2
8%
15.75
X/X
8%
7.09
2/1
5%
21.7
2/2
8%
13.25
2/X
6%
21.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v Amstetten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
2.84/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.40
+36% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 65%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.2 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ried vs Amstetten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Amstetten
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 2-3 HT 2-1 Ried Ried AU2
26.04.2024 Ried Ried 3-0 HT 3-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
06.10.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 2-3 HT 2-1 Ried Ried AU2
08.03.2020 Amstetten Amstetten 1-2 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AU2
11.08.2019 Ried Ried 4-1 HT 2-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
31.03.2019 Ried Ried 2-0 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH Ried vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried and Amstetten couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Ried carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Ried and 1.00 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of Ried vs Amstetten?

Ried 1-1 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ried 57%, draw 22%, Amstetten 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ried), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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