Amstetten 2-3 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.56
1/2
7%
21.45
1/X
6%
16.65
X/1
10%
11.35
X/2
10%
3.82
X/X
7%
6.02
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.92
2/X
9%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 64%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
0.80/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.65
-34% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +78%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
228 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 71%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
31.0 Crosses 25.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ried
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
26.04.2024 Ried Ried 3-0 HT 3-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
06.10.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 2-3 HT 2-1 Ried Ried AU2
08.03.2020 Amstetten Amstetten 1-2 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AU2
11.08.2019 Ried Ried 4-1 HT 2-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
31.03.2019 Ried Ried 2-0 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
26.08.2018 Amstetten Amstetten 1-1 HT 0-1 Ried Ried AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amstetten
2-3
AWAY Ried
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried nicked a narrow win over Amstetten 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Amstetten had 43% of the ball to Ried's 57%, shots finished 14-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Amstetten and 2.50 for Ried.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Ried?

Amstetten 2-3 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 25%, draw 22%, Ried 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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