FC Liefering 0-1 SV Horn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.65
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
12%
4.24
X/2
10%
10.05
X/X
14%
6.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.4
2/2
11%
6.59
2/X
5%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Horn EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.86/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.70
+0% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 66%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.1 Crosses 12.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
4W-0D-2L
AWAY SV Horn
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 Passes 301
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-1 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
22.08.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
10.03.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 1-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
02.09.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
22.05.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-1 HT 3-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
19.11.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Liefering
0-1
AWAY SV Horn
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs SV Horn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn squeezed past FC Liefering 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Liefering at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Liefering had 62% of the ball to SV Horn's 38%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Liefering had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Liefering and 1.67 for SV Horn.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs SV Horn?

FC Liefering 0-1 SV Horn in the Austria - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs SV Horn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 48%, draw 26%, SV Horn 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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