FC Liefering 2-1 SV Horn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.66
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
12%
4.2
X/2
11%
10.7
X/X
12%
6.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.6
2/2
10%
7.06
2/X
6%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.6 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Horn EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.95/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/4.02
+1% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
319 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 67%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.7 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
4W-0D-2L
AWAY SV Horn
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.91 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
10.03.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 1-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
02.09.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
22.05.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-1 HT 3-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
19.11.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
07.03.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 6-2 HT 4-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Liefering
2-1
AWAY SV Horn
0.87 xG 0.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
215 Passes 349
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs SV Horn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering edged past SV Horn 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Liefering had 41% of the ball to SV Horn's 59%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.87 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Liefering had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FC Liefering and 1.83 for SV Horn.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs SV Horn?

FC Liefering 2-1 SV Horn in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs SV Horn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 49%, draw 26%, SV Horn 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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