Lafnitz 0-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

Lafnitz
0-1 HT 0-1
St. Pölten
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lafnitz vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 27% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
7.11
1/2
6%
21.2
1/X
12%
15.65
X/1
11%
9.73
X/2
19%
3.99
X/X
12%
5.86
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.1
2/X
4%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lafnitz v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 61%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.83/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.25
+56% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
29.0 Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Lafnitz vs St. Pölten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
31.03.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-2 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
04.11.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
10.04.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
17.09.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
31.10.2018 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-3 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AUK

Lafnitz 0-1 St. Pölten — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lafnitz
0-1
AWAY St. Pölten
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten squeezed past Lafnitz 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lafnitz had 43% of the ball to St. Pölten's 57%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lafnitz and 1.67 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs St. Pölten?

Lafnitz 0-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 25%, draw 28%, St. Pölten 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ BTTS No
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