23/02/2024
·
20:10
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Leoben vs Stripfing Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.31
— our 27% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
28%
Draw
25%
29%
Away Win
24%
44%
Under 2.5
47%
56%
Over 2.5
53%
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
43%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leoben v Stripfing — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Leoben
EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stripfing
EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
1.25/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.49/1.78
-26%
/
+30%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-64%
/
-6%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
365 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
251 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.0
–
Crosses
13.0
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.8
Leoben vs Stripfing Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Leoben
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Stripfing
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
04.08.2023
Stripfing
1-4
HT 0-1
Leoben
AU2
1-4
HT 0-1
Leoben
AU2
POST-MATCH
Leoben vs Stripfing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Leoben ran out comfortable winners over Stripfing 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leoben as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Leoben vs Stripfing?
Leoben 4-0 Stripfing in the Austria - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leoben vs Stripfing?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leoben 44%, draw 28%, Stripfing 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leoben), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Leoben)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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AU2
More Austria - 1st Division
23 Feb 2024