İskoçya (K) 0-4 Almanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.95
Away OUR CALL
59%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
7.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 28% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
30%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Almanya (K) win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.6pp
59%
Away Win
73%
-13.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskoçya (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.56/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.17
-33% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -4%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
10.4 Crosses 12.9
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskoçya (K)
0-4
AWAY Almanya (K)
0.58 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
297 Passes 368
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İskoçya (K) vs Almanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) swept aside İskoçya (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, İskoçya (K) had 46% of the ball to Almanya (K)'s 54%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.58 to 1.18.

What was the final score of İskoçya (K) vs Almanya (K)?

İskoçya (K) 0-4 Almanya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskoçya (K) vs Almanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split İskoçya (K) 20%, draw 21%, Almanya (K) 59%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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