İsveç (K) vs İtalya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İsveç (K) v İtalya (K) — Team-Based Signals
İsveç (K) vs İtalya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
İtalya (K)
AVKUL
0-1
HT 0-1
İsveç (K)
AVKUL
5-0
HT 3-0
İtalya (K)
KDK
1-0
HT 0-0
İsveç (K)
HAZ
2-3
HT 1-2
İtalya (K)
ABK
İsveç (K) 3-2 İtalya (K) — Actual Match Statistics
İsveç (K) edged past İtalya (K) 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had İsveç (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, İsveç (K) had 54% of the ball to İtalya (K)'s 46%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 4.26 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İsveç (K)'s control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for İsveç (K) and 1.00 for İtalya (K).
What was the final score of İsveç (K) vs İtalya (K)?
İsveç (K) 3-2 İtalya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İsveç (K) vs İtalya (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İsveç (K) 53%, draw 23%, İtalya (K) 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.