Gürcistan (K) 2-3 Malta (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
18%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+10.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gürcistan (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Malta (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+144% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
237 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gürcistan (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Malta (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
26.11.2020 Gürcistan (K) Gürcistan (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Malta (K) Malta (K) ABK
05.03.2020 Malta (K) Malta (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Gürcistan (K) Gürcistan (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gürcistan (K)
2-3
AWAY Malta (K)
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gürcistan (K) vs Malta (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malta (K) squeezed past Gürcistan (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Malta (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gürcistan (K) had 44% of the ball to Malta (K)'s 56%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Malta (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gürcistan (K) and 3.00 for Malta (K).

What was the final score of Gürcistan (K) vs Malta (K)?

Gürcistan (K) 2-3 Malta (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gürcistan (K) vs Malta (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gürcistan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gürcistan (K) 38%, draw 24%, Malta (K) 38%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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