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Macaristan (K) vs Sırbistan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macaristan (K) v Sırbistan (K) — Team-Based Signals
Macaristan (K) 0-1 Sırbistan (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Sırbistan (K) squeezed past Macaristan (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Sırbistan (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Macaristan (K) had 50% of the ball to Sırbistan (K)'s 50%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.09 to 0.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Macaristan (K).
What was the final score of Macaristan (K) vs Sırbistan (K)?
Macaristan (K) 0-1 Sırbistan (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macaristan (K) vs Sırbistan (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Macaristan (K) 38%, draw 27%, Sırbistan (K) 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Macaristan (K)) went the other way.