Polonya (K) 5-1 Bosna-Hersek (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.18
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.53
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
80%
-23.6pp
25%
Draw
14%
+11.1pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.2pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Bosna-Hersek (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.19/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/3.62
-30% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -25%
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
18.0 Crosses 9.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bosna-Hersek (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
13.11.2018 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Bosna-Hersek (K) Bosna-Hersek (K) HAZ
17.09.2014 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 3-1 HT 3-1 Bosna-Hersek (K) Bosna-Hersek (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
5-1
AWAY Bosna-Hersek (K)
4.17 xG 0.83
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
491 Passes 157
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs Bosna-Hersek (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) swept aside Bosna-Hersek (K) 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 71% of the ball to Bosna-Hersek (K)'s 29%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 4.17 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polonya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Polonya (K) and 0.50 for Bosna-Hersek (K).

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs Bosna-Hersek (K)?

Polonya (K) 5-1 Bosna-Hersek (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs Bosna-Hersek (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 56%, draw 25%, Bosna-Hersek (K) 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKUL More Austria - Karnten Unterliga
4 Apr 2025
14:00 Ermenistan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K) Analysis →
16:00 Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Letonya (K) Analysis →
17:00 Yunanistan (K) vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) Analysis →
17:00 Arnavutluk (K) vs Hırvatistan (K) Analysis →
17:30 Slovenya (K) vs Türkiye (K) Analysis →
18:00 Gürcistan (K) vs Malta (K) Analysis →