Romanya (K) 1-1 Kuzey İrlanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
21%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-5.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya (K)
1-1
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda (K)
0.86 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
275 Passes 306
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Romanya (K) vs Kuzey İrlanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya (K) and Kuzey İrlanda (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Romanya (K) had 48% of the ball to Kuzey İrlanda (K)'s 52%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.86 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Romanya (K) vs Kuzey İrlanda (K)?

Romanya (K) 1-1 Kuzey İrlanda (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya (K) vs Kuzey İrlanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey İrlanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Romanya (K) 29%, draw 32%, Kuzey İrlanda (K) 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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