Al Shabab Manama 0-3 AAli FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No OUR CALL
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY AAli FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
3.00/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.47
+55% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AAli FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2024 AAli FC AAli FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0-3
AWAY AAli FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs AAli FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AAli FC swept aside Al Shabab Manama 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Manama at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 56% of the ball to AAli FC's 44%, shots finished 14-3.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs AAli FC?

Al Shabab Manama 0-3 AAli FC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs AAli FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 49%, draw 22%, AAli FC 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Shabab Manama), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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