Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No OUR CALL
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.5pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sloboda Tuzla EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 62%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.69/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/0.41
-19% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +88%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
236 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sloboda Tuzla
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Velez Mostar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
07.12.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
14.09.2024 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
19.03.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
16.10.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
14.09.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
05.07.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sloboda Tuzla
1-1
AWAY Velez Mostar
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sloboda Tuzla vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sloboda Tuzla and Velez Mostar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Mostar at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Sloboda Tuzla had 38% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 62%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sloboda Tuzla and 0.67 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Sloboda Tuzla vs Velez Mostar?

Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sloboda Tuzla vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sloboda Tuzla 23%, draw 29%, Velez Mostar 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Velez Mostar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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