Roskilde 2-3 B93 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.19
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
17%
5.28
X/2
12%
6.51
X/X
8%
5.02
2/1
5%
25.0
2/2
16%
4.42
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY B93 Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.49/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.54
-15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
29.0 Crosses 9.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
2W-0D-1L
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
364 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2024 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 0-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
27.07.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 1-2 HT 1-2 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag DAN1
29.07.2022 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 1-3 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
2-3
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
1.30 xG 2.71
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
465 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 29
30 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs B93 Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

B93 Kopenhag edged past Roskilde 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Roskilde at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Roskilde had 63% of the ball to B93 Kopenhag's 37%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.30 to 2.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold B93 Kopenhag's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Roskilde had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Roskilde and 1.00 for B93 Kopenhag.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs B93 Kopenhag?

Roskilde 2-3 B93 Kopenhag in the Denmark 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs B93 Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 42%, draw 23%, B93 Kopenhag 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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