Nice 1-2 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 4 Apr 2025

Nice
1-2 HT 1-2
Nantes
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nice vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.87
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.2
X/1
19%
4.03
X/2
7%
12.25
X/X
10%
6.06
2/1
7%
22.0
2/2
8%
10.05
2/X
8%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.86/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.87
-18% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
468 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.5 Crosses 14.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nice vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nantes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
489 Passes 308
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
31.03.2024 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
02.12.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
12.03.2023 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
23.10.2022 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
07.05.2022 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FRK

Nice 1-2 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
1-2
AWAY Nantes
1.90 xG 0.52
76% Ball Possession 24%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
583 Passes 134
87% Pass Accuracy 61%
38 Box Touches 5
51 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nice vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes nicked a narrow win over Nice 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nice at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Nice had 76% of the ball to Nantes's 24%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.90 to 0.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nice.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nice and 1.33 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Nice vs Nantes?

Nice 1-2 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nice 55%, draw 23%, Nantes 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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