Nantes 1-1 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 20 Oct 2024

Nantes
1-1 HT 0-0
Nice
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nantes vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
46%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.16
1/2
11%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.79
X/2
14%
5.26
X/X
10%
4.07
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
21%
3.63
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
46%
Away Win
37%
+8.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantes v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.34/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.43
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.1 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Nantes vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
316 Passes 488
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
02.12.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
12.03.2023 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
23.10.2022 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
07.05.2022 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FRK
14.01.2022 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 1-1 Nantes Nantes FR1

Nantes 1-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
1-1
AWAY Nice
0.49 xG 0.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
319 Passes 466
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 36
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes and Nice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nice at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nantes had 42% of the ball to Nice's 58%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.49 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nantes and 1.00 for Nice.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Nice?

Nantes 1-1 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nantes 30%, draw 24%, Nice 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nice), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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