Toulouse 1-1 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 20 Oct 2024

Toulouse
1-1 HT 0-1
Angers
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Toulouse vs Angers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
17.4
X/1
15%
3.57
X/2
7%
12.55
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
10%
10.6
2/X
6%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toulouse v Angers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.64/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.62
-21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.0 Crosses 14.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Toulouse vs Angers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Angers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.51 xG 1.27
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
406 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.03.2023 Angers Angers 0-2 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
16.10.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 3-2 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR1
25.09.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 0-2 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
27.01.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 0-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
22.09.2018 Angers Angers 0-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
21.04.2018 Toulouse Toulouse 2-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1

Toulouse 1-1 Angers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
1-1
AWAY Angers
1.97 xG 1.42
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
447 Passes 195
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Toulouse vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse and Angers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Toulouse at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Toulouse had 66% of the ball to Angers's 34%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.97 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Toulouse and 0.67 for Angers.

What was the final score of Toulouse vs Angers?

Toulouse 1-1 Angers in the France - Ligue 1 on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 52%, draw 25%, Angers 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Toulouse), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toulouse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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