Le Havre 0-4 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 20 Oct 2024

Le Havre
0-4
Lyon
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Le Havre vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.8
1/2 EV+
12%
21.85
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
9%
9.48
X/2
16%
4.2
X/X
10%
5.46
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.19
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.34/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.29
-15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -22%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 85%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
16.1 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Le Havre vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lyon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.13
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
338 Passes 488
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 3-1 HT 1-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
17.09.2023 Lyon Lyon 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
15.02.2009 Lyon Lyon 3-1 HT 2-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
20.09.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
05.04.2003 Lyon Lyon 2-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
07.11.2002 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon FR1

Le Havre 0-4 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-4
AWAY Lyon
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
241 Passes 436
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon ran out comfortable winners over Le Havre 4-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Le Havre had 38% of the ball to Lyon's 62%, shots finished 7-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Havre and 1.50 for Lyon.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Lyon?

Le Havre 0-4 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 26%, draw 24%, Lyon 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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