Nice vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nice v Nantes — Team-Based Signals
Nice vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Nice
FR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Nice
FR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Nantes
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Nantes
FRK
2-1
HT 1-1
Nantes
FR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Nice
FR1
Nice 1-2 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics
Nantes squeezed past Nice 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Nice at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Nice had 57% of the ball to Nantes's 43%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.31 to 1.69.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nice and 1.00 for Nantes.
What was the final score of Nice vs Nantes?
Nice 1-2 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nice vs Nantes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nice 48%, draw 27%, Nantes 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.