RC Strasbourg 2-0 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 31 Mar 2024

RC Strasbourg
2-0 HT 0-0
Rennes
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

RC Strasbourg vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.48
1/2
11%
27.5
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
9%
6.2
X/2
8%
4.91
X/X
11%
4.42
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
19%
3.22
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RC Strasbourg v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.14/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.25
+5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
18.7 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

RC Strasbourg vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rennes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 1.41
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
298 Passes 484
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
01.02.2023 Rennes Rennes 3-0 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
01.10.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-3 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
20.04.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
24.10.2021 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
14.03.2021 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1

RC Strasbourg 2-0 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
2-0
AWAY Rennes
2.64 xG 1.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
266 Passes 419
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg saw off Rennes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; RC Strasbourg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 40% of the ball to Rennes's 60%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.64 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.67 for Rennes.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Rennes?

RC Strasbourg 2-0 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 34%, draw 27%, Rennes 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rennes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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