Lorient vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lorient v Brest — Team-Based Signals
Lorient vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 4-0
Lorient
FR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Brest
FR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Lorient
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Lorient
FR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Brest
FR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Brest
FR1
Lorient 0-1 Brest — Actual Match Statistics
Brest edged past Lorient 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Lorient had 55% of the ball to Brest's 45%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.04 to 0.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lorient.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lorient and 1.33 for Brest.
What was the final score of Lorient vs Brest?
Lorient 0-1 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lorient vs Brest?
Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lorient 29%, draw 24%, Brest 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.