Clermont 0-3 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.53
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
9%
7.31
X/2
17%
4.4
X/X
15%
4.57
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.72
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.26/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.08
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +42%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.4 Crosses 20.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Toulouse
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
334 Passes 344
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 2-2 HT 2-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
05.03.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 0-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
04.09.2022 Clermont Clermont 2-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
30.01.2021 Toulouse Toulouse 3-2 HT 1-1 Clermont Clermont FR2
19.09.2020 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR2
25.10.2017 Toulouse Toulouse 4-2 HT 3-2 Clermont Clermont FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
0-3
AWAY Toulouse
0.81 xG 1.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 3
444 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse swept aside Clermont 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Clermont had 56% of the ball to Toulouse's 44%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.81 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Clermont and 1.67 for Toulouse.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Toulouse?

Clermont 0-3 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Clermont 29%, draw 28%, Toulouse 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toulouse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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