Marsilya 0-2 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 31 Mar 2024

Marsilya
0-2 HT 0-0
PSG
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Marsilya vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.22
1/2
13%
22.7
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
10%
7.54
X/2
15%
4.59
X/X
14%
5.16
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.62
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsilya v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.35/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.53
-19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 83%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
19.9 Crosses 12.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Marsilya vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PSG
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
401 Passes 484
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 2-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
26.02.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 0-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
08.02.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 2-1 HT 1-1 PSG PSG FRK
16.10.2022 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
17.04.2022 PSG PSG 2-1 HT 2-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
24.10.2021 Marsilya Marsilya 0-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1

Marsilya 0-2 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya
0-2
AWAY PSG
1.39 xG 2.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
388 Passes 458
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marsilya vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG beat Marsilya 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Marsilya had 47% of the ball to PSG's 53%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.39 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Marsilya and 1.83 for PSG.

What was the final score of Marsilya vs PSG?

Marsilya 0-2 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 33%, draw 26%, PSG 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
31 Mar 2024
14:00 Lorient vs Brest Analysis →
16:00 Nice vs Nantes Analysis →
16:00 Le Havre vs Montpellier Analysis →
16:00 Clermont vs Toulouse Analysis →
18:05 RC Strasbourg vs Rennes Analysis →