Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 31 Mar 2024

Le Havre
0-2 HT 0-0
Montpellier
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Le Havre vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.0
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.1
X/1
18%
5.63
X/2
12%
5.37
X/X
9%
4.13
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
12%
3.73
2/X
9%
13.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.1 — our 13% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.37/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.32
+37% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
14.7 Crosses 18.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Le Havre vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Montpellier
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
265 Passes 404
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 2-2 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
02.05.2008 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
10.12.2007 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR2
14.05.2007 Montpellier Montpellier 2-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
01.12.2006 Le Havre Le Havre 3-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR2
12.05.2006 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR2

Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-2
AWAY Montpellier
0.76 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
335 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier beat Le Havre 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Montpellier found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Le Havre had 53% of the ball to Montpellier's 47%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Havre and 0.67 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Montpellier?

Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 36%, draw 31%, Montpellier 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Le Havre), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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