Leeds United U21 0-2 Middlesbrough U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.9pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.00/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-38% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.7 Crosses 18.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United U21
0-2
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
433 Passes 227
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leeds United U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough U21 saw off Leeds United U21 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United U21 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Leeds United U21 had 64% of the ball to Middlesbrough U21's 36%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Leeds United U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Leeds United U21 0-2 Middlesbrough U21 in the INGPL2 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leeds United U21 44%, draw 23%, Middlesbrough U21 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Leeds United U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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