Stoke City U21 4-1 Wolverhampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
5.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.35
+126% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
4-1
AWAY Wolverhampton U21
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
212 Passes 336
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City U21 cruised past Wolverhampton U21 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stoke City U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 41% of the ball to Wolverhampton U21's 59%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

Stoke City U21 4-1 Wolverhampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 45%, draw 20%, Wolverhampton U21 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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