Chelsea U21 4-1 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-15.6pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 16%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.6 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.06 xG 1.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
370 Passes 358
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 0-4 HT 0-2 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
4-1
AWAY Aston Villa U21
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
383 Passes 404
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 swept aside Aston Villa U21 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 50% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 50%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Chelsea U21 4-1 Aston Villa U21 in the INGPL2 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 55%, draw 22%, Aston Villa U21 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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