Aston Villa U21 0-4 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.29
No
38%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
73%
-11.3pp
38%
BTTS No
27%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+60% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.7 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
0-4
AWAY Chelsea U21
1.37 xG 2.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
358 Passes 370
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Chelsea U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 ran out comfortable winners over Aston Villa U21 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 48% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 52%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.37 to 2.06.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Aston Villa U21 0-4 Chelsea U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 33%, draw 24%, Chelsea U21 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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