Wolverhampton U21 1-2 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.17
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.5pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.55/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/1.43
-1% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +118%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 10.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton U21
1-2
AWAY Sunderland U21
0.60 xG 2.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
366 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 nicked a narrow win over Wolverhampton U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wolverhampton U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wolverhampton U21 had 51% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 49%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.60 to 2.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sunderland U21's control.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Wolverhampton U21 1-2 Sunderland U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton U21 49%, draw 18%, Sunderland U21 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolverhampton U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolverhampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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