Leicester City U21 1-3 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.59
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.1pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.11/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.31
-45% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
37.5 Crosses 8.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City U21
1-3
AWAY Manchester City U21
2.01 xG 3.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
440 Passes 413
89% Pass Accuracy 92%
15 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 saw off Leicester City U21 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Manchester City U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Leicester City U21 had 52% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 48%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.01 to 3.43.

What was the final score of Leicester City U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Leicester City U21 1-3 Manchester City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leicester City U21 35%, draw 27%, Manchester City U21 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City U21), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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