Stoke City U21 2-2 Arsenal U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.69
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.94
Over 2.5
70%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.28
No
44%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
24%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
58%
Away Win
56%
+2.4pp
30%
Under 2.5
22%
+8.4pp
70%
Over 2.5
78%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
74%
-18.5pp
44%
BTTS No
26%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -51%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
2-2
AWAY Arsenal U21
2.85 xG 3.59
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
206 Passes 472
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Arsenal U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City U21 and Arsenal U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Arsenal U21 carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 34% of the ball to Arsenal U21's 66%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 2.85 to 3.59.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Stoke City U21 2-2 Arsenal U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 19%, draw 23%, Arsenal U21 58%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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