Be1 NFA 1-2 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.9pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.69/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.20
+11% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Babrungas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
24.05.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
23.09.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
30.04.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 0-2 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
08.10.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 0-1 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
03.06.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 0-0 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas squeezed past Be1 NFA 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Be1 NFA and 0.00 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Babrungas?

Be1 NFA 1-2 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 51%, draw 20%, Babrungas 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Be1 NFA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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