Suduva 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.33
No
67%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.3pp
67%
BTTS No
61%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.99/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.45
+80% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-3 Suduva Suduva LITA
07.07.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
17.05.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
31.03.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
27.01.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus HAZ
20.10.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva edged past FK Dainava Alytus 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Suduva as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suduva had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suduva and 0.67 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Suduva vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Suduva 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Suduva 52%, draw 26%, FK Dainava Alytus 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suduva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suduva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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