Deportivo Tachira 0-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
55%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
12%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
12.25
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
6%
21.45
X/1
6%
13.1
X/2
16%
3.7
X/X
8%
5.23
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
34%
1.86
2/X
8%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
55%
Away Win
63%
-7.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 67%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.76/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.86
-26% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -39%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
15.7 Crosses 11.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
0-1
AWAY Flamengo
0.23 xG 1.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
285 Passes 536
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Tachira 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 38% of the ball to Flamengo's 62%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.23 to 1.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Flamengo?

Deportivo Tachira 0-1 Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 23%, draw 22%, Flamengo 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LKU More Copa Libertadores
4 Apr 2025
01:00 Central Cordoba Santiago vs LDU Quito Analysis →
01:00 Bahia vs Internacional Analysis →
01:00 Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras Analysis →